Financial Trend Forecaster's Dow Seasonal Analysis

Table showing the Seasonal performance of the DOW over the last 10 years

 

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DOW Seasonal Analysis
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Seasonal Analysis:

 The attached table shows the performance of the Dow over the last 10 years by season.

Note that the summer months Q3 (July- September) are the worst performing months with 6 out of 10 years being down and only 2 out of 10 being up.

Q4 is historically the best performing months with 8 up years and no down years.

Q1 is more up than down and Q2 is about even with 3 down years and 4 up years. 

 
Quarter Number of Down Years Number of Flat Years Number of Up Years
Q1 Jan-Mar 2 4 4
Q2 Apr- Jun 3 3 4
Q3 Jul-Sep 6 2 2
Q4 Oct-Dec 0 2 8

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